Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.309022e-05 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000076 0.000087 0.000099
2025-01-26 3.251987e-05 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000079 0.000096 0.000116
2025-02-02 2.724445e-05 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000135
2025-02-09 2.258494e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000066 0.000088 0.000116 0.000151
2025-02-16 2.055938e-05 0.000032 0.000048 0.000069 0.000096 0.000129 0.000172
2025-02-23 1.738735e-05 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000098 0.000136 0.000185
2025-03-02 1.418157e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000098 0.000139 0.000194
2025-03-09 1.190591e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000064 0.000098 0.000143 0.000204
2025-03-16 1.004849e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000063 0.000099 0.000147 0.000214
2025-03-23 8.675164e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000062 0.000101 0.000153 0.000226
2025-03-30 7.472057e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000062 0.000102 0.000158 0.000237
2025-04-06 6.207903e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000060 0.000102 0.000161 0.000245
2025-04-13 4.810425e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000057 0.000101 0.000162 0.000252
2025-04-20 3.791471e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000055 0.000101 0.000166 0.000262
2025-04-27 3.324563e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000057 0.000105 0.000176 0.000282
2025-05-04 2.736868e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000107 0.000182 0.000296
2025-05-11 2.577208e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000059 0.000114 0.000196 0.000322
2025-05-18 2.092871e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000202 0.000335
2025-05-25 1.567392e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000114 0.000203 0.000342
2025-06-01 1.216614e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000055 0.000114 0.000206 0.000352
2025-06-08 9.403797e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000114 0.000210 0.000363
2025-06-15 7.489978e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000053 0.000116 0.000216 0.000376
2025-06-22 5.871798e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000053 0.000117 0.000221 0.000389